As a top-8 team with a home playoff game and with a 10-2 record after enduring one of the toughest schedules in the country, it would seem the Oklahoma Sooners have proven enough to be considered serious national championship contenders. But Vegas strongly disagrees.
The Sooners enter the College Football Playoff as the 8-seed and will host the No. 9 Alabama Crimson Tide for a rematch on Friday, Dec. 19, at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. With the playoff bracket set, Vegas oddsmakers on Sunday released the odds for each of the 12 teams to win it all, and the Sooners were in the bottom tier despite their path and accomplishments so far.
Odds make Sooners long shots to win College Football Playoff
According to FanDuel and BetMGM, only Group of Five participants Tulane and James Madison have worse chances than the Sooners to finish this season as national champions, giving OU the worst odds among Power Four teams in the playoff. FanDuel opened the Sooners' national championship odds at +5000, while BetMGM put them at +6600.
BetMGM gave Tulane and JMU both +50000 odds, while FanDuel put Tulane at +75000. BetMGM gave Ohio State, even after losing to Indiana on Saturday, the best odds at +225, followed by Indiana (+275), Georgia (+600), Oregon (+900), Texas Tech (+900), Texas A&M (+1400), Alabama (+2000), Miami (+2200) and Ole Miss (+2500).
Someone send this to Brent Venables and Ben Arbuckle plz https://t.co/Gfxs56lWuR
— Justin Churchill (@ChurchillAtoZ) December 7, 2025
The wildest ones being ahead of OU are Ole Miss and Bama.
Ole Miss beat the Sooners this season, but the Rebels will take on the playoff without their head coach and offensive mastermind Lane Kiffin, who already left for LSU. The Rebels do, though, get a weaker first-round pairing at home against No. 11 Tulane, which Ole Miss already hammered 45-10 in September. A win would set up another rematch for Ole Miss against No. 3 Georgia. The Bulldogs just barely won the first meeting 43-35 to hand the Rebels their only loss of the season.
The Sooners and Crimson Tide have also already met this season, just over a month before Round 2. OU beat Bama 23-21 in Tuscaloosa and will now get the Crimson Tide in Oklahoma. Despite the previous result, though, FanDuel still opened the Sooners as 1.5-point underdogs at home, so Vegas doesn't even like OU's chances of surviving the first round.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.